Like I told Emily, you don't NEED to believe him because you already have your life and you KNOW you'll be ok without him.
NOW, wanting to believe him is a different story. I would say to go for it. Allow yourself to want to believe him, to WANT this to work and have hope that it will. I think he's saying and doing the right things and why not, have some hope. This could be the time he finally gets it and I think your strength and persevere through all of it has a lot to do with that.