Licked finger in the wind. I usually tell other posters their odds are 50/50 AT BEST if they DB well.
LOL, so I like the science behind your logic but Steve, man I don't remember getting ANY kind of odds from you back when my sitch started! :-)
Sorry b! I try not to state. Usually I only do in terms of comparing pressure and pursuit vs. DBing. DBing at best gives you 50/50 (is usualy what I say) while pressure and pursuit will virtually guarantee you'll end up D'd.
Many have taken issue in the past with my 50/50 number. I truly believe in most sitches it is about 50/50 IF (and this is a big IF) the LBS doubles down hard on DBing and does it really well.
M(53), W(54),D(19) M-23, T-25 Bomb Drop - Dec.23, 2017 Ring and Piecing since March 2018