Mark, I don't think ANYONE here wants to say "I told you so" and I don't think many here would disagree with your timeline, either. The mantra here is "it's a marathon, not a sprint."
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My biggest problem and the reason I get all the 2x4’s is that I’m very logical I work with statistics it’s what I do! If we look deep into our lives statistic are everywhere and help us without actually knowing it.
I think this is the fundamental problem, and you acknowledge it to a certain extent in the next thing you say "there's the emotional element to factor in." I think what you may be missing here is that it's not just the "A" that's an emotional element. This entire situation is about emotion.
You cannot reason your wife back into your M. Being the "better choice" will not get her back into your M. Her A ending might get her back into the M, but it's just as likely that she'll go into another A!
You're focused on external factors, but the only thing that MIGHT bring your W back are INTERNAL factors. Focusing on you.