Do you have a link to sandy2 rules. I know the one about believe none of what they say.....
I must admit I am quite confident due to some happening that affair became physical on 27 July 2016.
Go to newcomers thread. Sandi's 37 rules is the 4th sticky down from the top. TBH you should read everything she posts. She's a very wise woman.
One thing I've also learned the hard way is to trust your gut. So if you think the A became physical in July 2016 then you are probably right. I had a similar gut instinct in the summer of 2014 but talked myself out of it. Boy how I wish now I'd trusted what my instincts were telling me. But alas I didn't and now I'm D'd.
Me:43 Her:42 M:14 S:9 EA started 2014/03 (or there abouts) PA started 2014/05/30 BD:2014/11/05 I left 2015/10/01 I returned 2015/05/02 She left 2015/06/10 OM still on the go.