I would just accept the hugs and kisses as something that he did out of habit. I would disregard them at this time because his words and actions aren't complimenting each other.
Yes, he' distancing himself because of the holidays and whatever he's doing in his own personal life right now. How did he act on Thursday? Normal, not really there, etc? Did you notice his eyes? Where they sparkly or dull/dead, not sparkle at all?
He'll respond soon. Just have to be patient.
Relax and try not to over analyze his every word or action. There are so many ways that the things they say and do can be interpreted, it's just best to accept him for who he is today and live your life to the fullest.
Sit quietly, the answers will reveal themselves when you least expect them to. The past is gone, the present is a gift and you need to focus on today, allow the future to reveal itself when it is ready.