if the WAS is involved with OP.. what is the likelihood of them ever seeing the light and coming back?
Unfortunately there are no statistics for that. If you read through the success stories in the Another Divorce Busted! forum you'll see stories of affairs that broke up and the couples reconciled, so it does happen. But how often? Who knows. There are some statistics on affairs though, and most of them break up by the 6 month mark.
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if they do the work and recognize the things that went wrong in their M.. wouldn't they then just take what they've learned and apply it to their current relationships in order to ensure they don't fail again?
I think most WAS's get into other R's because they think their spouse is responsible for all the problems/ pain/ misery in their lives. They get in affairs so that they can AVOID doing the work they need to do. I suspect this is why most affairs fail, the WAS just keeps carrying their baggage from one R to the next.