he just doesn't believe in "random" and says there must be a pattern. I have a different philosophy.
Ummmm....yeah, you have a different philosophy - it's called mathematics!
Clearly your H does not understand basic statistical probability.
KML, are you somehow involved in the mathematics field? I am not, but H's approach seems illogical to me. He tracks his patterns of wins/losses. Such as wwwllwlllwwll and so forth. Then tells me "48% of the time this happens, 49% of the time that happens"
But,
I feel his sample size is way too small. (He bases his findings on a few hundred hands)
H thinks that, say you win 51% of the time, that you can't have a run of losses that exceeds that number. For instance, according to H you rarely lose more than 4 times in a row (and rarely win more than 4) so he plans his "progressive betting strategy" accordingly.... and then when the "rarely" does indeed happen thinks something has gone wrong.
IDK, I'm probably not explaining his approach properly - maybe because it doesn't make sense to me. It seems he disallows for true randomness. Thinks there is a pattern to everything.
In his defense, he does fairly well at 21. As I have said in past posts, he sets himself a budget and so forth. He sees a "career" in gambling, I do not. I can see where with discipline it can be perhaps a hobby that sometimes pays off. (Personally, I am NOT a gambler at all.)
I know there are supposed to be professional gamblers, but I prefer a less volatile income.
Not sure its a matter of "understanding" basic statistical probability. H just thinks he knows better, that he sees what others cannot.
Me 46 H 56 M 22 yrs S22, D20, Twin Ss18
You teach people how to treat you by what you allow. What you stop. And what you reinforce. ~~~~~~~ A lack of boundaries invites a lack of respect.
