Sorry got cut off...

Or will he make the same mistakes again? Meanwhile GF has a blank slate.

So let's say he's still a "nice guy" then he probably resents you, because he gave you all and you threw it away. He probably hopes this new girl appreciates his "nice guy" persona. If this is the case odds are she'll eventually leave for the same reasons you did.

Or let's say that he has done some introspection and is seriously trying to be strong and independent, then chances are that he fears you'll break him like your broke him in before, or that you merely want him because you can't have him anymore.

You have to reassure him that you will respect, encourage and appreciate his independence.