Your gut instinct is probably correct about the ow, but the more you bring her up the farther and faster he will run. Don't take anymore of her calls, and don't mention her anymore.
I've been right where you are as far as "yes we have a shot." then ten minutes later. "Not a snowballs chance in hell." He will continue to play you like a yo yo with this if you allow him to.
He doesn't know which end is up right now. Take everything he says with a grain of salt. Every time he tells you something like this, just think to yourself blah blah blah. It changes like the wind.
Keep busy, change the subject, do whatever it takes to avoid these conversations. When he sees you getting too close or getting your expectations up he will slam the door on ya. All a part of their twisted mentality.
Focus on you, do things for you and most importantly look out for you.