Well replay usually starts out small like new clothes, working out, new cologne etc. Then it goes to bigger things like ow but there is no rule. This is mlc after all. I know of some who went from ow to other things also.

So many of these replay behaviours occur simultaneously and then there is the fear of multiple ows. When the first one fails they move on to some one else.

I am sorry there is no real answer to any of this. There are not rules to mlc and how it all unfolds.